How France’s presidential election could break – or make – the EU


The Guardian: With two convinced Eurosceptics and an equally fervent pro-European among the four contenders with a chance of reaching the run-off, France’s too-tight-to-call presidential election could conceivably break – or make – the EU.

European officials and diplomats appear generally unconvinced that France, a core member of the bloc, will actually leave – an idea touted, not always forcefully, by the hard-left candidate, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, and his far-right rival, Marine Le Pen.

More worrying, and perhaps more likely, is the prospect of Paris turning its back. The EU would not survive Frexit, though “that seems quite remote”, said one senior diplomat. “But active inside opposition would almost be worse.” more …

Opinion: Far-right leader Marine Le Pen is seen by many as potentially fatal for the euro and even the EU itself.

Le Pen has called for an end to all  immigration and vowed to stamp out Islamic terrorism, which after yesterday’s attack in Paris, should give her a big advantage, if not an early win.

Opponents claim that if elected, Le pen would renegotiate France’s relationship with the EU, pull out of the euro altogether and then hold a referendum on the new relationship.

If Emmanuel Macron the communist and overtly pro-EU centrist were to win, he would offer France a chance to reform, and Europe a chance to rebound as a union.

A President Macron would make the UK’s Brexit negotiations tougher.

It is globalism v. nationalism or Donald Trump v. Hillary Clinton redux. The outcome could offer clues as to the eventual fulfillment of Daniel 7:23-24, when the revived Roman Empire is split into 10 regions with 10 kings.

The first round takes place on Sunday.

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